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The Inglewood Report · The big question

Is a Healthy Clippers Roster Good Enough to Matter This Season?

Four regulars are pointed at Nov. 8. The question is what they return to, and what comes after.

By the Clippers Nightly Desk · Tuesday, October 27

The Clippers are 1-2 and ninth in the West, with Garland and Lopez carrying a rotation missing five players. The defining question is whether the full roster is a real playoff team, because the front office has few ways left to add to it.

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Illustration by Hoops Nightly.
1

The case for patience rests on who is missing.

Ingram, Beal, Strus and Konan Niederhauser all carry an estimated return of Nov. 8, and Hachimura's is Oct. 30. A short-handed group has still posted a 109.7 offensive rating and a 106.5 defensive rating, good for a plus-3.2 margin. Lopez is scoring 18.0 a game and hitting 54.5 percent from three, Derrick Jones Jr. is at 53.8 percent, and Kris Dunn is at 40.0 percent. A team that defends like this with its depth chart gutted has a credible floor once Ingram's $40.0M salary is back on the court instead of the injury report.

2

The case against starts with age and a two-man offense.

Lopez is 38 and Beal is 33, and the healthy version of this roster went 42-40 last year with the league's 16th-best net rating. Garland is averaging 24.0 points and 7.0 assists, but at 34.6 percent from three, and Clipperholics has flagged his turnovers as a drag on the offense. Three-game pace numbers mean little, but a 27-55 projection and a two-game skid show how thin the margin is while the West keeps moving. Minnesota sits sixth at 3-1, 1.5 games ahead.

3

No help is coming from outside the training room.

Payroll is $188.9M, over the cap but below the $200.4M tax line, which leaves room on paper and little to trade. The 2029 and 2030 firsts are forfeited, 2027 and 2028 are swaps, and seconds are owed to Utah and San Antonio. Basketball operations remain interim under Trent Redden, with John Gibson as governor and CEO and no permanent hire reported. Clipperholics has floated Kristaps Porzingis, conditioned on Golden State giving ground, but nothing about it has been reported as a move.

4

The answer is yes, but only to the level the roster was built for.

The healthy Clippers are a playoff team, not a threat to the franchise's history of never reaching the Finals. Tyronn Lue's defense travels, and four returns in one week would deepen a rotation now leaning on a 19-year-old in Keaton Wagler. The stretch that tests this begins against a 3-0 Lakers team playing a back-to-back, followed by trips to Minnesota and Golden State. Staying close to sixth until Nov. 8 is the job. After that, the real verdict starts.

When are Brandon Ingram and Bradley Beal expected back for the Clippers?

Both carry an estimated return date of Nov. 8, along with Max Strus and Yanic Konan Niederhauser. Rui Hachimura's estimate is Oct. 30, and Jordan Miller's is March 2.

Can the Clippers trade for help this season?

Their options are limited because the 2029 and 2030 first-round picks are forfeited and the 2027 and 2028 firsts are swaps. Payroll is $188.9M, below the $200.4M luxury tax line.

By the Clippers Nightly Desk, written from the club's data and the reports on file, with every name and number checked against them. How the desks work.

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