The Ledger
logged
Every rumor we log carries a reporter, a date and, eventually, an outcome: confirmed when the player actually moves within 30 days, denied when a later report knocks it down, expired when nothing happens. Accuracy is confirmed calls over closed calls. Until a reporter has five closed calls we show their starting tier instead of a measured number, and say so.
The score is simple on purpose. A reporter's accuracy is the share of their logged reports that later came true, measured only on reports old enough to have an outcome; recent reports stay pending and do not count either way. Volume is shown next to it because a reporter with ten reports and a reporter with two hundred are not the same evidence. The confidence score you see on every rumor across the site is derived from this ledger: the reporter's track record, how many independent reporters said the same thing, and how specific the claim is.
We log what the reporter wrote, not what the headline said, and we attribute every report to its author. Denials count as outcomes too. When a report is later contradicted by the official transaction wire, the ledger marks it, and the reporter's number moves. The list below is the whole record, newest first, with a page for each reporter.
| Reporter | Calls | Confirmed | Denied | Expired | Accuracy | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shams Charania | 20 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 54% | measured on 13 closed calls |
| Paul Garcia | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 75% | measured on 12 closed calls |
| Jake Fischer | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 75 | starting tier · 3 closed so far |
| Josh Robbins | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Anthony Chiang | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 50 | starting tier · 2 closed so far |
| Grant Afseth | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Marc Stein | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 80 | starting tier · 3 closed so far |
| Tom Orsborn | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| Keith Smith | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 50 | starting tier · 3 closed so far |
| Anthony Slater | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Blake Murphy | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 3 closed so far |
| Brian Lewis | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 50 | starting tier · 2 closed so far |
| Jason Quick | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Dave McMenamin | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| James L. Edwards | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| John Gambadoro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 2 closed so far |
| Brett Siegel | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 2 closed so far |
| Jason Beede | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| Michael Scotto | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 50 | starting tier · 3 closed so far |
| Law Murray | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| Jon Krawczynski | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| Brian Windhorst | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 75 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Kelly Iko | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 65 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| Brian Robb | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 60 | starting tier · 2 closed so far |
| Monte Poole | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| Dalton Johnson | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Tony East | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 50 | starting tier · 2 closed so far |
| Jared Schwartz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Tony Jones | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Gary Washburn | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Mike Vorkunov | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Joe Cowley | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Barry Jackson | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| David Purdum | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| Kristian Winfield | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| Joe Freeman | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Donatas Urbonas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Ira Winderman | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Stefan Bondy | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| Dan Woike | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 50 | starting tier · 2 closed so far |
| Bennett Durando | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Justin Martinez | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Johnny Askounis | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Lauren Williams | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Christian Clark | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Shreyas Laddha | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Sam Amick | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 70 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| Chris Haynes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 65 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| Nathan Baird | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| Greg Finberg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Barkas. The NBA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Joel Lorenzi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| Jack Maloney | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| Aris Barkas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| Tony Garcia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| Andrew Crane | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| Baxter Holmes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Matt Young | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| Mike Prada | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| Souichi Terada | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| BasketNews. In | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| Scott Fowler | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Emiliano Carchia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| Joe Vardon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Chris Herrington | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Chase Hughes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| William Guillory | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Noah Trister | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Ian Begley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Duane Rankin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Hunter Patterson | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| Derek Bodner | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Kevin McNamara | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Flagg. The Mavericks | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| ESPN. Dybantsa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Michael C. Wright | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Alex Molina | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Marc J. Spears | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Semih Tuna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Chloe Peterson | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Eddie Sefko | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Steve Popper | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Nick Friedell | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Jared Weiss | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Kurt Badenhausen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Dan Dempster | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Chris Fedor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Khobi Price | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Josh Lewenberg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Vinny Benedetto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Fred Katz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| Joe Reedy | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Cam Wolf | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Ken Sugiura | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Sean Highkin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| Kurt Helin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Bobby Marks | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| Kyle Neubeck | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| To Two-Way Contract | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Brian Barefield | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| Woodyard. The Pistons | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| Mike Curtis | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Kristie Rieken | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| Jon Chepkevich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| Charania. More | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| Zion Brown | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Kenzo Fukuda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| Julia Poe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |
| Karol Wasiek | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| Michael McCann | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| Tomer Azarly | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 1 closed so far |
| Janis Carr | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | starting tier · 0 closed so far |