Hoops Nightly
The Margin · Timberwolves Nightly · Trend · Thursday, September 17

The Timberwolves Are Minus 6.4 a Game Over Their Last 10

Minnesota was plus 2.2 for the season, but over its last 10 games the margin has flipped to minus 6.4.

-6.4per game over the last 10, vs the season · last season, May 15

Over their last 10 games, the Timberwolves have been outscored by 6.4 points a night. For all of the 2025-26 season, through their game on May 15, 2026, their margin across 94 games sits at plus 2.2 points a night. That is a swing of nearly nine points a game between the full season and the most recent stretch.

A team's scoring margin is the gap between what it scores and what it allows, averaged over its games. A positive number over a full season means a team has outscored its opponents more often than not. A sharply negative number over a shorter stretch means the opposite has been happening lately, and happening by a wide margin rather than a narrow one.

For this trend to hold, Minnesota would need to keep losing games by wide margins, or win only by narrow ones, over its next several outings. For it to change, the Timberwolves would need to return to the pace that produced their plus 2.2 mark across the rest of the season, closing games the way they did for most of the year rather than the way they have over the last 10.

Whichever way it goes, the gap between plus 2.2 and minus 6.4 is large enough that it will show up in the win column before long.

Hoops Nightly Desk · every number in this piece is in the box scores and on the pages linked below.
directiondown
last game2026-05-15
season games94
season label2025-26
last10 margin-6.4
season margin2.2
Season2025-26
FoundFri, May 15

More from The Margin

All pieces →