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The Biscayne Brief · The big question

The Heat Are Betting Draft Picks On Giannis Now

Miami sits above the first apron and has mortgaged first-round picks through 2028 to build around Giannis.

$209.1MPayroll above the first apron
By the Heat Nightly Desk · Saturday, October 10

Miami's payroll sits at $209.1 million, above the first apron, after a preseason spent folding Giannis Antetokounmpo into the rotation. Whether that bet pays off will show after October 21, when the regular season opens against these same Timberwolves.

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Illustration by Hoops Nightly.

Paying For Giannis

Miami carries $209.1 million in payroll, above the first apron and above the $200.4 million luxury tax line. Giannis Antetokounmpo accounts for $58.5 million of that alone, ahead of Bam Adebayo's $49.8 million, Wiggins' $30.2 million player option and Nikola Jovic's $16.2 million. Three roster additions this week - Gabe Madsen, Dennis Smith Jr. and Kylor Kelley - add depth without adding real salary.

Picks Mortgaged

The price for this roster goes beyond salary. Miami's 2027 first-round pick is protected to Charlotte, and the 2028 first is conditional to Charlotte as well. The 2029 first stays Miami's own, but every other pick through 2030 is swapped away or conditional. That is a heavy debt to carry on a team that finished 43-39 last season.

What Last Season Bought

That 43-39 finish came with a 115.8 offensive rating, a 113.6 defensive rating and a net rating of plus-2.1 - middling marks for a roster this expensive. Giannis Antetokounmpo played only 36 games in Miami colors last season, posting 27.6 points, 9.8 rebounds and 5.4 assists when he did. Bam Adebayo logged 73 games at 20.1 points and 10.0 rebounds, the steadier of the two.

Early Returns

Preseason wins over Toronto and New Orleans do not settle anything, but the bench has been efficient: Simone Fontecchio is shooting 70.8 percent true shooting over his last 10 games. The injury list is thin rather than alarming - Kylor Kelley, Dru Smith and Pelle Larsson are all questionable entering tonight, and only Keshad Johnson remains sidelined, hamstring, not expected back before October 26.

The Verdict

Spending to the apron and mortgaging first-round picks is only the right call if Giannis plays something closer to 82 games than 36, and the supporting cast - Adebayo, Portis, Jovic, Wiggins - lifts a net rating that was merely middling last season. Nothing in a 0-0 preseason confirms either. Miami has bought itself a roster; it has not yet bought itself an answer.

How much salary are the Heat carrying this season?

Miami's payroll is $209.1 million, above the first apron and above the $200.4 million luxury tax line.

Which draft picks have the Heat given up?

The 2027 and 2028 first-round picks are protected or conditional to Charlotte, and most other picks through 2030 are swapped away; only the 2029 first stays fully Miami's own.

By the Heat Nightly Desk, written from the club's data and the reports on file, with every name and number checked against them. How the desks work.

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