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Matas Buzelis: The Number That Has To Move

A 16-point scorer with a minus-6.3 net rating enters year three carrying more weight than ever.

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By the Bulls Nightly Desk · Monday, September 21

Matas Buzelis became a full-time forward last season, playing 77 games at 29.2 minutes and producing 16.3 points a night. The shooting numbers say he belongs; the net rating says the defense still has to catch up.

Matas Buzelis of the Bulls
Matas Buzelis. Photo: Brady Saylor, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons.

Full workload. Buzelis played 77 games last season, tied for the heaviest workload on the roster, at 29.2 minutes a night. The counting stats: 16.3 points, 5.8 rebounds, 2.1 assists. That workload isn't a bench role, it's a starting forward's job.

The efficiency case. He shot 46.3 percent from the field and 34.9 percent on 6.4 three-point attempts a game, plus 78.6 percent from the line. A true shooting mark of 58.6 percent says the touch is real; a usage rate of 22.3 percent says the ball found him often.

The other number. On defense, Chicago allowed 116.9 points per hundred possessions with Buzelis on the floor, well worse than the offensive end's 110.6. The net swung to minus-6.3, the same direction as the team's minus-5.3 mark overall.

Where it broke down. In a Yabusele-Okoro-Jones-Giddey-Buzelis five last season, spread over 8 games and 61 minutes, the net rating cratered to minus-9.9, with the defense allowing 114.4. Without a scoring option playing off him, Buzelis and that unit couldn't find offense either, at 104.5.

The extension math. Buzelis is playing on his rookie deal, $5.7 million this year and $7.6 million next, with restricted free agency on the horizon. Every point of that net rating between now and then sets the price.

Nothing to watch. Buzelis isn't on the injury list, the rare Bulls forward without a tag attached this month, while four teammates carry designations into training camp with return dates already set for October 1.

What year three needs. Second-year growth has to come on the end that hasn't shown up yet: the defense. A 16-point scorer with a minus-6.3 net rating is a solid role player. A plus number turns him into a building block instead.

On deck Buzelis and the Bulls open the exhibition slate October 7 against the Suns, with three more preseason games before the regular season begins October 21 at Toronto.
What is Matas Buzelis's role for the Bulls this season?

He's the starting forward, coming off a 16.3-point, 5.8-rebound season in 77 games at 29.2 minutes a night.

Is Matas Buzelis a good defender?

Not yet by the numbers: Chicago allowed 116.9 points per hundred possessions with him on the floor last season, the weaker half of his game.

By the Bulls Nightly Desk, written from the club's data and the reports on file, with every name and number checked against them. How the desks work.

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